Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.232189 0.263482 0.296933 0.335296 0.378017 0.424069 0.477410
2025-10-05 0.191404 0.233621 0.281656 0.340153 0.409245 0.488024 0.584410
2025-10-12 0.164811 0.214135 0.273317 0.349114 0.443113 0.555324 0.698827
2025-10-19 0.142186 0.195411 0.262375 0.352037 0.468064 0.612162 0.803550
2025-10-26 0.126415 0.182733 0.256652 0.359594 0.497859 0.675570 0.919402
2025-11-02 0.114688 0.173584 0.253906 0.369781 0.530656 0.743781 1.044650
2025-11-09 0.101253 0.160206 0.243616 0.368056 0.546306 0.789243 1.141406
2025-11-16 0.090256 0.148908 0.234804 0.367018 0.561947 0.834611 1.239526
2025-11-23 0.080774 0.138698 0.226353 0.365309 0.575787 0.877407 1.335440
2025-11-30 0.074930 0.133438 0.224649 0.373133 0.603550 0.940928 1.463494
2025-12-07 0.068112 0.125798 0.218428 0.373232 0.619234 0.987085 1.567920
2025-12-14 0.062108 0.118827 0.212539 0.373137 0.634187 1.032391 1.672655
2025-12-21 0.056579 0.112263 0.206996 0.373564 0.650605 1.081780 1.787804
2025-12-28 0.052642 0.108104 0.205090 0.379756 0.676525 1.147060 1.930558
2026-01-04 0.049755 0.105549 0.205677 0.390089 0.709696 1.225234 2.097049
2026-01-11 0.046103 0.101122 0.202510 0.393552 0.731365 1.285798 2.238060
2026-01-18 0.043503 0.098454 0.202251 0.402021 0.761881 1.361990 2.407471
2026-01-25 0.041494 0.096744 0.203578 0.413338 0.797824 1.448618 2.597517
2026-02-01 0.038048 0.091663 0.198031 0.411466 0.810144 1.495900 2.723910
2026-02-08 0.035024 0.087130 0.193121 0.410338 0.823538 1.545351 2.855714
2026-02-15 0.032209 0.082724 0.188057 0.408459 0.835270 1.592200 2.984704
2026-02-22 0.030684 0.081054 0.188393 0.417106 0.866943 1.675213 3.179340
2026-03-01 0.028482 0.077558 0.184618 0.417217 0.882343 1.729788 3.326136